May 15, 2004
Unsound Transit

Today's Seattle Times reports on yet another cost overrun for Sound Transit link light rail. The lowest bid to build a tunnel through Beacon Hill will cost $41 million more than originally expected. Sooner or later this will add up to real money:

The Beacon Hill bids reinforce opponents' belief that a total of $7 billion will be needed to finish 24 miles of light rail from Northgate to just south of Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, said John Niles of the Coalition for Effective Transportation Alternatives, which favors express buses.
This page explains the $7 billion estimate, which is double what the voters were sold in 1996.

Sound Transit itself estimates that it will eventually serve 160,000 riders a day. What they really mean is 160,000 rides a day, or 80,000 round trips. Bear in mind that Sound Transit has a habit of badly overestimating their ridership. But if the goal is to get 80,000 people off the freeways at rush hour, for $7 billion you could just pay 80,000 people $87,500 each to either move closer to their jobs or leave town altogether. Ridiculous, yes. But it would be just as ridiculous to spend the same amount of money to build a rigid and disruptive train system that barely makes a dent in reducing traffic congestion.

It's seriously time for a revote on Sound Transit. Do what you can to help the Trust and Transit campaign get the revote on the November ballot.

Posted by Stefan Sharkansky at May 15, 2004 04:08 PM
Comments

Apropos your recent residence in the Bay Area, the Chronicle reported yesterday that the cost of a second span for the Benicia bridge (estimated several years ago at $280M) has now ballooned to almost $1 billion. Oh, and ridership for the BART extension from Colma to the SF airport is 50% below estimate.

I hope all is well with you and your family in the land of my ancestors.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) on May 15, 2004 10:38 PM

I'm more and more astounded, reading this, at the way Portland's new Interstate MAX line opened ahead of schedule and under budget.

Posted by: Sigivald on May 17, 2004 09:51 AM

The bridge overrun is bizarre and I hope someone is auditing it.

Posted by: aphrael on May 17, 2004 05:58 PM
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