It would be fascinating, I think, to observe a day in the life of our favorite Canardmeister, Robert "Three-Home" Scheer. In the meantime, I have to make do with my mental image of him -- waking up at the crack of noon, groaning and scratching himself as he fumbles his way out of bed. Still in his underwear, he opens the front door to look for the newspaper and has to walk all the way out to sidewalk to get it because that's where the never-been-tipped paperboy tosses it now. Peering at the newsprint through the smudged lenses of his spectacles, Scheer makes out only the words "Bush", "Iraq" and "mislead". "Aha!", he says to himself, "I knew Bush was lying", and then he sets his Canard-o-matic to "800 words", presses the PRINT button and crawls back into bed for his afternoon nap.
I can't think of any other explanation for Scheer's latest column: Bush was all too willing to use émigrés' lies, which cites a Los Angeles Times story that the case for war with Iraq was largely based on lies
Bush is such a master at deceiving the American public that even now he is not threatened with the prospect of impeachment or any serious congressional investigation into the possibility that he led this nation into war with lies.Yes, Bob, but whose lies were they? Robert Scheer artfully omits an important piece of context that was in the Times article:
officials say former Iraqi operatives have confirmed since the war that Hussein's regime sent "double agents" disguised as defectors to the West to plant fabricated intelligence. In other cases, Baghdad apparently tricked legitimate defectors into funneling phony tips about weapons production and storage sites.Ah. So it wasn't Bush who lied, but a miscalculating Saddam who lied. You wouldn't know that if you relied on Scheer's interpretation of the LA Times story. Then again, there are a lot of things you wouldn't know if you rely on Robert Scheer to explain the world to you."They were shown bits of information and led to believe there was an active weapons program, only to be turned loose to make their way to Western intelligence sources,"
...
Hussein's motives for such a deliberate disinformation scheme may have been to bluff his enemies abroad, from Washington to Tehran, by sending false signals of his military might. Experts also say the dictator's defiance of the West, and its fear of his purported weapons of mass destruction, boosted his prestige at home and was a critical part of his power base in the Arab world.Hussein also may have gambled that the failure of United Nations weapons inspectors to find specific evidence identified by bogus defectors ultimately would force the Security Council to lift sanctions imposed after the 1991 Persian Gulf War. U.S. officials now believe Hussein hoped to then covertly reconstitute his weapons programs.
Finally, Robert Scheer shows off his knowledge of all things piscatorial:
American soldiers standing guard over the White House's imperial ambitions — a new Middle East as linchpin to a new world order — are now being shot like fish in a barrel.Skipping past the silly Leninist trope about "imperialism", are our soldiers being "shot like fish in a barrel"?
According to the Scripps Howard News Service, out of the 140,000 troops in Iraq, 70 have been killed in combat since the President declared an end to "major combat operations" on May 1. Those are 70 American soldiers I wish were still alive, but they represented 1 in 2,000. If you're shooting into a barrel of 2,000 fish and only manage to hit 1 of them, either you are not a very good shot, or the fish are doing a reasonable job of protecting themselves.
Posted by Stefan Sharkansky at September 04, 2003 07:30 AMthat screed by scheer was frightening. I almost think he is on a substance of some kind - the writing makes no sense anymore and is just hyperbole.
Posted by: jannol on September 4, 2003 07:37 AM"Yes, Bob, but whose lies were they? "
As intelligence professionals know, the claims made by defectors are often very suspect. There are a number of reasons for this: a defector may indeed be a double agent and deliberately spreading disinformation, a defector may be telling a story he or she thinks an interrogator wants to hear in order to secure a reward such as cash and/or asylum, a defector may lie in order to settle a score, etc.
Again, intelligence professionals understand why defector claims should be treated with a boulder of salt.
What's missing in your diatribe is the fact that several prominent Iraqi defectors had contradictory accounts concerning Saddam's WMD capability. This was well known within the intelligence community. You're also missing the very real fact that several Iraqi defectors claiming a considerable WMD capability were discredited by intelligence agencies---yet this administration decided to act on the basis of these bogus claims.
The bottomline is Scheer is correct; this administration decided to act on intelligence that was the least credible and, in some cases, was known to be false.
Posted by: JadeGold on September 4, 2003 07:53 AMScheer is very rarely correct...but this is nothing to brag about, being that even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Posted by: Mike Silverman on September 4, 2003 08:25 AMYes, defectors are sometimes lying.
And, yes, their information needs to be handled carefully, as a result.
But that is also true for ALL INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION. Are the satellite pictures we see accurate? Or did the other side deliberately hide things when they knew the satellites would be overhead? Was the signals intelligence picked up by listening posts real? Or was it deliberately planted?
More important, however, is that, in a totalitarian system, defectors are often the ONLY means of accessing information either at the human level (e.g., what the inner circle is debating) or inside facilities that are under highest security.
And it is worth noting that the veracity of defector accounts often cannot be known until after the fall of the regime. After all, many a good Lefty like Stephen Cohen dismissed the casualty counts of the Yezhovschina under Stalin becuase "they're based on Ukrainian and Russian defectors and emigres who are biased." Similarly, the tales from the era of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution which were dismissed becuase they were from emigres and defectors.
Only the fall of the USSR and the massive opening of the PRC have allowed us to now assess that, in fact, the emigre/defector figures were FAR more accurate than the likes of Cohen and other apologists.
And wasn't it Chomsky who derided all accounts of the Khmer Rouge because they were from defectors?
Posted by: Dean on September 4, 2003 08:26 AMYes, defectors are sometimes lying.
And, yes, their information needs to be handled carefully, as a result.
But that is also true for ALL INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION. Are the satellite pictures we see accurate? Or did the other side deliberately hide things when they knew the satellites would be overhead? Was the signals intelligence picked up by listening posts real? Or was it deliberately planted?
True, but one is still relied upon more than the other. There are levels of trustworthiness.
(I always thought it was the left that was supposed to be into false equivalency.)
More important, however, is that, in a totalitarian system, defectors are often the ONLY means of accessing information either at the human level (e.g., what the inner circle is debating) or inside facilities that are under highest security.
The ghost of Adlai Stevenson would like to have a word with you. Something about Cuba.
Besides, just because they're the only source doesn't mean they're a particularly useful or reliable source. The situation does occasionally arise where one's best sources of information are entirely fraudulent. One could argue that we're living it right now.
Posted by: Demosthenes on September 4, 2003 12:49 PMDemosthenes:
Cuba, 1962, you mean?
Gee, lessee:
The capabilities of American satellites at that point was virtually unknown, both in the USG, but certainly in the USSR.
The main pictures taken were actually by U-2, which have precisely the advantage of NOT flying on known, predictable tracks and courses.
Oh, and you know one of the key tip-offs, both to Cuba and, more importantly, to Soviet responses, capabilities, etc.? One Colonel Oleg Penkovskiy. You DO know who he is, right? One of Khrushchev's military aides? In other words, a spy? (Who would've been a defector, if the Brits had gotten him out, in time.)
So, perhaps a certain defector or two, or their ghost, might want to have a word with YOU. Something about knowing what the Soviets were actually capable of doing, what they had in place, etc. In a little place called Cuba.
Posted by: Dean on September 4, 2003 12:54 PMIn my view, the most important quote from the LA Times article is this: Hussein also may have gambled that the failure of United Nations weapons inspectors to find specific evidence identified by bogus defectors ultimately would force the Security Council to lift sanctions imposed after the 1991 Persian Gulf War. U.S. officials now believe Hussein hoped to then covertly reconstitute his weapons programs.
This seems to be the most plausible answer to the question "why haven't we found any weapons?", as well as the ultimate justification for the war. If Saddam were to remain in power, the sanctions regime and the inspections would have to end and anybody in their right mind should recognize that under those conditions Saddam would restore his weapons programs to full capacity as quickly as he could. Robert Scheer and the other Useful Friends of Saddam might applaud that scenario, but I'm glad we ousted Saddam when we had the chance.
Posted by: Stefan Sharkansky on September 4, 2003 01:02 PMthe shark may have a serious lead here, for ten years saddam tried to bust the coalition through aggression, in 1994-1995 he managed to get the sanctions eased by threatening kuwait. he always used aggression to solve situations - he bombed the US Stark (how do you have an accident with two exocet missiles) to get the US involved. I think that creating the crisis in 1998 worked to bust the sanctions, but then 9/11 occurred, and unfortunately for him, iraqi intelligence did not take the pulse of the american public and due to 9/11 we were finally willing to engage in the middle east and fight the mess in the nest.
Posted by: jannol on September 4, 2003 02:55 PM"Yes, defectors are sometimes lying."
Nope, you're still missing the point: any intelligence professional will assume every defector is lying. They have to; security concerns demand it. So, the intelligence professional will have to verify what they're being told and there are a number of ways to do this. One way is to compare the claims of defectors; if they vary, at least one of the defectors is lying and perhaps both are. Another method of verification is to compare what's being said with other intel assets such as satellite reconnaissance or phone or electronic intercepts. Or other human assets could be used.
And we (as well as our allies) knew a great deal about Iraq's capabilities, so it's a canard to claim Iraq was this mysterious totalitarian monolith which we knew nothing about.
Again, the problem is this administration used the stories of defectors which were known to be the least credible and, likely, false to justify its actions.
Addendum: Dean is quite wrong about Penkovskiy's role in the Cuban Missile Crisis. Penkovskiy didn't tip us off about Soviet missiles in Cuba--in fact, it was actually French diplomatic personnel who reported to our intelligence they had seen huge cylindrical objects under tarpaulins trucked through Havana late at night--which piqued our interest and prompted the U2 overflights.
In reality, Penkovskiy's contributions were both good and bad. He was able to furnish the US with an opinion as to the intentions and politics of the Kremlin and military. OTOH, these opinions were often quite subjective and not without Penkovskiy's own spin; frequently, Penkovskiy was flat-out wrong regarding technical aspects or capabilities.
Posted by: JadeGold on September 4, 2003 03:24 PMYou know, you guys could argue this until the cows come home, but in the end, you'll still be unable to count how many angels can stand on the head of a pin. What really matters is: Is the world, the US, and Iraq better off with Saddem gone? That is the only meaningful question!
Posted by: DK on September 4, 2003 07:31 PMJadegold,
First of all, President Bush has on several occasions taken pains to inform the American people that the threat from Iraq was not imminent. Do you remember this line from his State of the Union Speech:
"Some have said we must not act until the threat is imminent."
It is only proper that the Commander in Chief of the US would use "worst case scenarios" when reacting to intelligence information because of the "possibility" that terrorists could use WMD's against America.
Robert Scheer was wrong before the war and remains so today. Scheer is nothing more than a front for A.N.S.W.E.R. In other words nothing has changed, Scheer is still a committed communist dedicated to the destruction of the US Constitution.
In a post 9-11 world it would be tantamount to treason to not interpret intelligence info as worst case. We now live in a world where we must take action before absolute proof is established, the possibility of WMD attack demands thus. The world is ruled by the aggressive use of force, this has been a constant fact throughout recorded human history, the sooner you come to terms with it the better.
Posted by: Jim Brown on September 4, 2003 10:49 PMI'll say it since no one else did: Shark, hilarious description of Scheer's mornings. Rapier wit.
Posted by: Bleeding Heart Conservative on September 5, 2003 07:57 AMWhen are we going to kill the evil in Iran, Saudia Arabia, Pakistan, and North Korea?
Posted by: Eric on September 5, 2003 01:53 PMEric,
Hopefully very soon.
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